street0123

Hmm, Mullen was able to lift UF recruiting from 14th in his first year to 9th in both his 2nd & 4rd year, but Billy had a first year at 18th and his 2nd year is going to finish outside the top ten. Is Billy a better recruiter than Dan Mullen actually was or is UF just where they are a top recruiting school but not top 10.

Connor you are an idiot. UT, Bama and UGA all have good looking back-ups this season and are well positioned for new starting QB's next season. But Kentucky, Miss State, Florida, and Arkansas, these schools will be in a situation.

The new 12 team CFP format is terrible. Still based on media driven rankings. Pathetic.

Cute take but until the full story is written you just can't say something like this.

The hardest thing for LSU to try and do will be to run the ball. For LSU just to reach their average rushing yards per game they would have to run the ball over 140% better than UGA's other opponents have been able to do. UGA only needs to be about 40% better than LSU opponents have been at passing & running the ball to reach their average offensive numbers and that would result in at least 38 points for this Georgia team. The game isn't played on the stat sheet and turnovers and momentum plays can turn a game, but LSU has to be able to run the ball for their offense to be effective and I just don't think that will happen.

Notre Dame lost to Marshal, right?

When the CFP expands the SEC should cancel the SEC Championship game, because it creates a disadvantage for the SEC teams who play and then make the playoffs.

So how about we finish conference championships with these 4 teams remaining: #1 undefeated SEC Champion UGA, #2 undefeated B1G Champion Michigan, #3 1 loss P12 Champion Oregon, #4 1 loss SEC East Runner-up Tennessee. TCU loses twice to Texas and Ohio State finishes with 1 loss but it's to Michigan and not as competitive as Tennessee's loss to UGA. That would set UGA up with a very difficult gauntlet of CFP opponents who last loss was against UGA!

Hilarious, you're a UT nutter who put out stupid takes on how UT was going to destroy UGA and because you can't take the blow-back you have convinced yourself that UT decided to lose this game all along. Absolutely hilarious.

Gwhite, told you that pinning your hopes on a small subset of UGA's passing stats wasn't a good idea.

With all those pass attempts you would think that UT would hold teams under their average passing yards per attempt, but nope they are still allowing their FBS opponents to get 94% of their average per pass. You can't put lipstick on a pig and call her Norma Jean, the UT passing D isn't very good and it hasn't had to be because it helps keep the game at the UT pace of play.

On Dooley Field!

You are just stuck on that passing TD stat and can't see the forest for the trees. UGA will pose a greater passing threat to UT than any other FBS team they have faced this season. UGA is averaging 325 passing yrds/gm against FBS opponents, which is 30% more yards per game than Alabama (excluding the UT game).

You're putting a lot on a subset passing stat believing that a team can only be successful against the UT Def with a deep ball passing game. This is not a typical UGA power run, play-action, drop back passing offense, it has become a different animal altogether, using the pass as an extension of their running game, taking deep shots to keep teams honest and moving relentlessly down the field and scoring TD. If UGA has a lead or is down less, tied or even down less than 1 score in the 4th quarter the power running game is unleashed and it is a brutal soul sucking thing. UT will need to score early and often and hold a big lead into the 3rd to survive against UGA. UT has the offense to do it but I just don't think the are going to run away from the UGA offense.

Actually, against FBS opponents (excluding their games against UT) Florida has fielded the best that UT has faced followed by Bama and the UK. UF was also the best secondary that UGA has faced followed by Missouri (which is tied with Bama) and then Auburn which is just 3 yards/gm behind UK. UGA's secondary giving up 187 yrds/gm the same as UK and UT is giving up almost 300 yrd/game through the air.

Actually, I think I read that with Nolan Smith out UGA only returns 2 defensive starters from last year's team.

I agree I don't think UGA puts up 42 points, I think it may be between 30-35 if the UT D is as successful against UGA as they have been against their other FBS opponents. Also, UGA's great offensive numbers have come against FBS opponents who are giving up on average 28% more pts/gm than the FBS defenses which UT has faced, so either UGA's offensive numbers are inflated, or UT's D is underrated.

Hmm, Bama was by far the best offense UT has faced this season and it came within a hair of beating them in Knoxville. Against FBS competition (excluding the game against UT) UGA has a better scoring, total and passing offense than Bama. UGA is one of the least penalized teams in the country while Bama committed 17 penalties for 130 yards against UT. And let's not forget UGA will be playing at home on Dooley field at Stanford stadium.

I think the UGA passing game will be the best passing offense UT has faced to date. You're picking at a subset of UGA passing game and I just don't think this game will hinge on the UT red zone defense against the UGA passing TD offense. If UGA is trading field goals for UT TD's then you'll have been right, but I think the UGA red zone passing threat is enough to keeps teams honest and has allowed UGA to score rushing the ball. Further out I think UGA has been working all year to improve their passing game and the deep ball TD hasn't been a big part of it, it's been more about making the passing game an extension of the rushing attack and extending possessions.

I agree, I think the UT offense is unstoppable this season, but FBS offenses have scorched UT this season as well. You discount the UGA offense, but you shouldn't because he UGA offense, particularly the UGA passing game will be the best this UT defense has had to try and contain.

Hmm, to properly compare the Bama and UGA offense you have to exclude games against FCS opponents and Bama's stats against UT. UGA scores at the same pts/gm, more total yards/gm and more passing yards/gm than Bama. Bama has a slight edge in the running game 225 vs 213 yrds/gm and 6.3 yrds/carry vs 5.9. UGA will be the best overall offense and the best passing offense UT has faced.

Actually, against FBS opponents and excluding UT, the Bama D is better across the board than UGA. So to your point yes, I think UT will score points against UGA just like they have against most every team they have played. However, while Bama was the best offensive team UT has played, UGA is even better against FBS competition and unlike Bama, UGA will not gift an additional 130 yards on 17 penalties to UT on Dooley's field at Sanford stadium.

I think Bama and UGA are very similar teams this year, except that UGA doesn't give up nearly as many penalties to help sustain drives for their opposition or hinder their own. Outside of the game against UT Bama's defense is slightly better than UGA across the board against FBS competition. Bama lost by 3 points but out gained UT 569-567, the difference being playing at UT (3 pt historical advantage to the home team) and 17 penalties totaling 130 yards that don't show up in the total yardage gained. In this game UGA will be the home team and unlike Bama this season UGA is one of the fewest penalized teams in the country. I think UGA should win this game but only if the UGA offense is successful in matching UT scoring through the 1st half and can get traction running the ball in the 2nd half. The UT defense has been stout against the run, but if UGA can keep up with the points scored on offense then I think a power running game begin to hurt UT. UK needed the running game to set-up their passing, UGA doesn't and have been working all year on passing the ball to set-up Blunt Force Trama late in games to put games away. UT has to score, early and often and take a 2-score lead into the 4th quarter at UGA to win this game.

In order to compare the UT and UGA defenses you have to compare the offenses both teams have faced and against FBS opponents UT opponents have averaged scoring 28.8 pts/gm (excluding games against UT) while UGA FBS opponents have averaged 28.5 pts/gm (excluding games against UGA). Across the board their FBS opponents have put up very similar numbers in total yards with UT FBS opponents skewing toward the pass vs the rush about 10% vs the UGA opponents. So, UT and UGA have faced similar offenses and while UT is holding these offenses to 71% of their scoring average UGA is throttling them at 42%. If the UT D holds steady (71%) against the UGA offense (43 pts/gm), then that would give UGA 30 points. If the UGA D holds steady (42%) against the UT offense (47.1 pts/gm) then UT scores 20 pts. The real difference is that UT has faced better defenses than UGA, about 28% better on average, so I think you could adjust these points for UT against UGA to 25.

Hmm, scoring points and limiting points is the bottom line and the UT offense has been very good at scoring points this season. UT has scored at a rate of 212% against what their FBS opponents have given up defensively against all other FBS teams (excluding the games against UT). UGA has limited FBS opponents to only 12 points a game, so will the UT offense put up 25+ points (212%) against the UGA D? Holding this UT team to less than 30 points would be a real accomplishment but this UGA D has looked sloppy and unable to deny opponents after turnovers against Kent St, Missouri and in the 3rd quarter against Florida. Were these the result of a lack of focus or are these inklings of a real problem with youth and inexperience across the UGA D? If UGA makes some mistakes early and UT grabs a quick and easy lead does this youthful UGA D let things snowball and get ugly? On the flip side does Bennett and the UGA offense try to do too much to stay on top of the game and end up compounding the pressure on their young D with turnovers, dropped passes and special teams mistakes?

Hmm, who said this UGA team is not as good as the 2019 team? UGA probably has the best offense since the CMR era, and the D has been better than most CKS teams excepting last season.

When measured against FBS competition statistically the UGA offense and the UT offense are virtually tied in average total yards, passing yards & rushing yards, with the Vols holding a 10% edge in scoring effectiveness (Avg. Pts/Gm, Yards/Pt and Plays/Point). However, the biggest difference is that UT has earned these stats against opponents with an average defense 20% better than the opponents whom UGA has faced. That doesn't mean that the UGA offense will not perform as well or better against the UT defense it means that the UT offense may be even better than it appears to be on paper.

Actually, when you factor out FCS opponents, UT is only giving up 21 pts/game which is better than any UGA opponent to date. The best scoring D UGA has faced has been Missouri who is giving up 21.5 pts/game to FBS opponents. UGA and UT have on average faced similar FBS scoring offenses with UGA Opponents averaging 28.5 pts/gm (against FBS opponents) and UT facing FBS offenses averaging 29.3 pts/gm.

Hmm, an old elite Dawg might disagree with you. “If we score, we may win. If they never score, we’ll never lose.”

If the UGA offense is able to consistently run the ball and their defense is able to keep SC from scoring, why should UGA attempt more than 40 passes? Do what is important to win the game and play to your standard.