Bill O'Brien was a good OC, but he wasn't good enough to be Alabama's OC ... so who is?
He led a pair of top-6 offenses, his 2 units had a combined 85-15 touchdown-interception ratio and he was the play-caller for Alabama’s first Heisman Trophy winning quarterback.
Yet when the news broke Tuesday that Bill O’Brien was leaving Tuscaloosa to become the New England Patriots offensive coordinator, you could hear the celebration from Alabama.
O’Brien left under his own terms, though if it came out that Alabama fans packed his bags, showed up in a limo, drove him to a private jet and waved goodbye, would anybody be surprised? Of course not. O’Brien and Pete Golding took more heat than anyone in Tuscaloosa. Now, both will be in their same roles in new places.
Good riddance? For some, definitely.
Golding’s case was a bit different because Alabama never finished worse than No. 7 in scoring defense in the 10 years prior to his arrival, and in his 5 years in Tuscaloosa, the Tide never got back into the top 7. The frustration over O’Brien’s tenure stemmed from the belief that Bryce Young’s improv skills were at the root of the Tide’s best offensive moments — not schemed looks like it was under Steve Sarkisian or Lane Kiffin.
Both Sarkisian and Kiffin were considered “good enough” to be Alabama offensive coordinators. O’Brien wasn’t. Neither was Brian Daboll and by the end of 2018, the Mike Locksley-Josh Gattis duo wasn’t exactly in high favor among the Alabama faithful (the wild thing is that Locksley won the Broyles Award as the nation’s top assistant that year).
There’s no higher bar for an assistant to live up to than calling offensive plays in Tuscaloosa. O’Brien learned that the hard way. While the pro-O’Brien numbers suggested he shouldn’t have been public enemy No. 1 — current and former players went to bat for him — there were some other factors working against him.
In his 2 years as OC, Alabama was in a 1-score game in the 4th quarter 13 times. That’s not the Nick Saban way. In 9 true road games during that stretch, Alabama’s offense averaged 30.7 points in regulation (that’s if you take away the non-offensive points).
There was frustration in the play-calling, as well. Even though the Tide finished No. 4 in FBS with 5.57 yards/carry, it ranked just No. 82 in rushing attempts/game. However, against teams that finished ranked in the AP Poll in 2022, Alabama averaged just 4.3 yards/carry and 123.2 rushing yards/game. Against those final AP Top 25 teams in 2021, Alabama averaged just 4.1 yards/carry.
It wasn’t just that. After all, Alabama won titles in 2011 and 2020 even though it averaged less than 4.3 yards/carry against ranked foes. But with O’Brien, it often felt like the Tide’s offense often struggled to impose its will against halfway decent foes. In the past 2 years, Alabama played in 11 1-score games. In the 6 pre-O’Brien seasons, the Tide totaled 12 games that were decided by 1 score.
Is that all on O’Brien? Of course not. He’s also not entirely to blame for an overwhelming preseason No. 1 Alabama squad finishing No. 123 with 68.7 penalty yards/game.
But naturally, that blame comes with the territory. O’Brien was never going to get credit for Young’s development, in part because he came to Alabama as the No. 2 overall recruit and also in part because his predecessor, Sarkisian, was largely responsible for his recruitment. Sarkisian never called a game that Young started, though the duo worked together in 2020 during his true freshman season. Some treated that like O’Brien was handed the keys to a Ferrari and he was told not to crash it.
If Young was a new Ferrari that O’Brien was told not to crash, what would that make the 2022 Alabama receivers? A used Kia Forte in need of a new transmission?
The anti-O’Brien crowd put that all on the Alabama offensive coordinator and claimed that it was his fault that those pass-catchers weren’t schemed open. In reality, this was the first time since 2011 that the Tide lacked that true, go-to receiver. There wasn’t an Amari Cooper, a Calvin Ridley, a Jerry Jeudy, a DeVonta Smith, a Jaylen Waddle or a Jameson Williams. There wasn’t even a John Metchie or a Henry Ruggs. That would’ve made life more difficult on any play-caller, but it was O’Brien who had to make the best of it.
In his defense, he never crashed the Ferrari. Young won a Heisman and became, for my money, the best quarterback in program history. Alabama went 24-4 and averaged over 41 points per game in those 2 years under O’Brien. In any other coordinator job in America outside of Alabama or Ohio State, that’s considered a remarkable success.
In a strange way, though, O’Brien’s public perception will make life a touch easier on his successor. Who might that be, you ask?
Well, Saban’s Playoff era hires have typically had some significant NFL background (Mike Locksley was the lone exception in the Playoff era). If Saban wanted to go that route, Kliff Kingsbury would be an obvious target. The newly available former Arizona Cardinals coach could get back to his roots as a play-caller after spending the past decade as a head coach, both in college and in the NFL. The last time Kingsbury was in assistant role was in 2012 when he called plays for a certain Johnny Manziel, whom Tide fans remember well:
10 Years Ago Today: Johnny Manziel leads Texas A&M past No. 1 Alabama with a legendary performance inside Bryant-Denny Stadium pic.twitter.com/b3LP1ueMwN
— SEC Football Vids (@SECFootballVids) November 10, 2022
Lost in the shuffle of how greatly that day impacted Manziel’s life was how it impacted Kingsbury. Could Saban let Kingsbury come into Alabama and tweak the offense with the Air Raid concepts that have become common in college and NFL circles? It’s possible. Kingsbury is reportedly hanging out in Thailand without any urgency. Perhaps a $2 million salary — not that he needs the money — and an opportunity to work with an immensely talented roster would pry Kingsbury back to North America.
The other obvious free agent candidate doesn’t necessarily have an NFL background, but he’s as proven of a college play-caller as there is — Dan Mullen.
It’s long been a fascinating thought among college football fans to consider what Mullen could do with Alabama’s talent level. Of course, that became a source of frustration while Mullen was at Florida because he couldn’t recruit on an Alabama or a Georgia level. Still, his track record at speaks for itself. At Florida, it wasn’t his play-calling that came into question. It was how he handled his CEO duties. At Alabama, Mullen won’t be asked to do that.
So he’s not a relentless recruiter? So what? Last I checked, Saban has been able to handle that despite having as much coordinator turnover as any Power 5 program in the country.
It could come down to what Mullen is looking for. He got a $12 million buyout from Florida after 2021. He spent the last year as an analyst for ESPN (he was excellent in-studio and calling games). Clearly, though, he wasn’t in any hurry to get back into coaching based on the fact that it’s late-January and he appears content to spend another season on the media side. If Mullen’s desire is to take over his own program at some point — that’s been the indication from everyone I’ve talked to about him — what better path is there than “Alabama offensive coordinator.”
Kiffin is running his own program now. So is Brian Daboll, as is Locksley and Sarkisian. Technically, O’Brien just got a promotion by getting the same gig in the NFL (I’d argue there’s some debate about that). As much scrutiny as there is with the position, it has become quite the stepping stone.
Better to be the OC than DC according to this ? @AlabamaFTBL https://t.co/vW43Hs2WGK
— Lane Kiffin (@Lane_Kiffin) January 24, 2023
All Alabama can hope for from a potential OC hire is that he leads multiple prolific offenses. O’Brien certainly did that, though not at the level many in crimson hoped he would. It remains to be seen if his successor will ever be good enough. Anybody outside of Kingsbury or Mullen would probably be considered a non-splashy hire. Even if it’s someone who came with a remarkable recent pedigree like Joe Brady or Ben Johnson, Tide fans will have their eyebrows raised.
That’s the Alabama standard. Either live up to it or step aside for someone who can.
It appears O’Brien did the latter.
DC – pruitt and smart both became D1 SEC head coaches; how is that bad?
As far as BoB, the three and outs seemed to be scheme issues (and receivers not getting open or catching). I’ll admit he wasn’t as bad as Bama fans make him out to be…but his concepts just didn’t provide the balance or clock management that Bama needed with a weak defense.
Also agree BY is best ever Bama qb – imagine what Bama would’ve looked like this year with him. RTR!!!
Without*
BY is a cool customer, no denying that. Glad he’s gone…
JT Daniels passed for the same 152 touchdown passes at the same school and did it in 3 seasons!!!!! BY had a full 4 years!!!!!!
PS. JT never had a fair shot. I hope he gets it!!!
Negan
I’m glad BY is gone. That guy is a stud. Bama could have easily went 8-4 without him this year. Game changer.
Bama could definitely stumble this year if they aren’t very careful. They are use to losing a lot of talent but I don’t see the talented depth that Saban of years past has had. What mentors or leaders are you going to have on defense? Offense? Don’t confuse this by thinking I am saying that Bama won’t still be good. Because they will be. But at what level?
Young is good, but by the middle/end of 2022, I started to wonder if he had an aversion to throwing in rhythm with the called pass route.
I started to wonder if Young didn’t feel right unless he was running for his life and doing the “magic” things that sportscasters and the guys on College Football Final gush over.
Taking a basic three step drop and hitting a slant for 8-yards is “boring”. Running for your life for 12 seconds and finding a receiver down the sideline for a TD is “exciting” and gets you lots of compliments on SportsCenter.
I don’t know Young’s motivations. But when I watched the Tide play, sometimes I wondered.
As I watched Bryce Young play he always impressed my with his great arm and his decision-making with the football. He was not ever rattled when the ball was in his hands. Maybe the smartest QB on the field the Tide has ever fielded.
BB – One reason the NFL gig is better for O’Brien, NFL coaches do not have to recruit and they are working with the top 1% of football players. In ‘Boston’ O’Brien has the good fortune to pair up again with Mac Jones. I’m certain that Mac has to be happy with this hire.
Bama biffed on its WR recruiting over the last few seasons and it showed on the field. When you have the top recruiting classes and have to go to the portal for your #1 receiver something is wrong.
I do not know who the OL coach is at Bama but I think this guy also needs to go? The Bama OL did not come close to playing to the recruiting rankings of the guys on the OL.
Hire Pruitt? That would fit with the OC hire at A+M.
With Daniels back at LSU and with Kelly working the portal (Speights from OR ST is one hell of a LB) I think LSU is in very good shape to take out an overrated FSU in the preseason and to win the SEC W back to back.
BTW – When it comes to WR recruiting the same criticism can be leveled at UGA.
BAD NEWS FOR COLLEGE FOOTBALL…..
A lot of people think they are happy Stetson Bennett, Jalen Carter and a bunch of others are gone, but they have a shock coming!!!!
GEORGIA JUST MIGHT BE BETTER IN 2023, AND THEY ARE HUNGRY FOR A 3PEAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
PS. Kirby promised you. ” At Georgia we won’t ever be hunted! WE HUNT!!!!!! ”
Negan
Horrible take. Bill O’Brien had two elite offenses in 2021 and 2022. Problem was a lack of discipline and the worst Bama defenses ever. The problem was CNS.
he was the play-caller for Alabama’s first Heisman Trophy winning quarterback…let that sink in for a minute as you celebrate, gump fans.
Why ARE bama fans called gumps?
Did you not watch Forest Gump?
Oh yeah, makes sense now.
Bryant, and now Saban, doesn’t recruit players because they are “smart”, he recruits them because they are girted with talent. And none had more talent than run Forest run…
gifted^
Stop Forrest, Stop!
It was LSU fans that started that name Gumps. We call them corn dogs because that state smells like corn dogs cooking at the county fair.
Gator QB Richardson is gifted. He is not smart with the football. Hence, the Gator record. He is going to be a bust in the NFL. Needs to change positions like Trask did.
Trask has not changed positions
Excuse me. Felipe Franks.
Donk…agreed on Richardson AR15. His passing impressed not one person ever. Plus an SEC Quarterback with confidence issues ? Let that sink in for a moment. That explains the sulking on the sideline after he overthrew a receiver on a
3rd & 8.
Bama fans are going to feel a little lost and weird these next few years. NIL and portal changed things. Gone are the days of hoarding players and depth. Wins will be more tough, losses will mount. This has already begun. It’s going to get more frustrating.
Hoarding players? Scholarship limits took care of that problem. Transfer rules and NIL means it is easy to steal talent now and the rich teams will get richer now.
Tell me the team’s 3 deep wasn’t better than most every team’s the past 10 years. Transfer and NIL rules mean 4 and 5 star recruits won’t sit on your bench anymore. They want to play.
I think the real problem with NIL is it voids your culture when it’s relied upon.
The ‘miss’ on Addison really hurt Bama at WR.
But when you sign the top recruiting classes shouldn’t WR recruits be elite?
Kingsbury will come to Tuscy and we will return to prominence. B.O.B is why we weren’t the team we should have been last year and his absence will mark the Return of Bama as the premier program of the NCAA once more.
You have received some indication that Kingbury has been extended an offer and accepted?
Actually the problem was Golding. Bama scored enough just gave up to many points this year. Bama was 161-0 when scoring 45 points or more in regulation. That ended this year thanks to Golding.
I mean teams all across football are scoring more than they ever have, offenses/coaching are ahead of defenses/coaching. Do you really think Bama is/should be immune to any and all trends?
With the talent they had the defense should have been better. I am not asking them to be the 2011 Bama defense but when Bama scores 49 points they should win the game.
Kingsbury is spending 2023 in Thailand. He is not going to be the OC at Bama.
I hear the name of Jeff Lebby is high on the list & he may want to get out of Oklahoma now.
HMMMMMM? The beach in Thailand vs working for Saint Nick in Tuscaloosa?
I doubt that Saban goes to the Air Raid. It produced stats, but never came close to a NC.
Lucix…also we did not have elite receivers in 2022. We signed them but a couple did not fit into the Process and transferred, one to Texas.
Lmao, just lmao.
He looks an older, fatter Bobby Hill.
That would be Josh Heupel.
Lol!
Class of 98…You have won the Award for the Post Of The Day. Trophy on order. Keep up the good work. With Heup’s new contract he’ll order 3 slabs of ribs at Calhouns.
SDS chose the most unflattering picture of O’Brien they could find as the header.
Dude looks like he just sharted.
LMAO
And Young looks like he’s thinking, “why won’t this idiot just leave me ALONE?”
It wasn’t that Bill was a bad OC across the board, it was the dumb calls he would make at the most in opportune times. We had a saying during games that if it could be messed up Bill would mess it up. Good riddance.
Bill’s calls inside the 15 yard line were puzzling to say the least.
O’Brien is NFL caliber, before and after.
He was not keen, or was not allowed to be keen, on college player development.
This article says he wasn’t allowed to tweak Bryce Young.
O’Brien is a smart New Englander, Brown U graduate, no?
Anyhow, an interesting experiment which may have suffered from thumbs on the scale and unrealistic expectations.
He is back where he feels more at home now.
Good luck to Alabama finding his replacement.
Any guy named O’Brien belongs in ‘Boston,’ no?
Well if I was a betting man I would put money on Bama having a lower ranking offense in the coming year than any year BoB was there.
I’ve already put $ down on LSU winning the SEC W in 2023.
And the ship does not seem to be operating all that smoothly at UGA?
Kelly is every bit the coach that Saban is and he is finally in a place with the talent to prove it.
The LB Kelly picked up from Oregon State is a flat out baller.
Yeah I didn’t mind that pick up at all.
Of course, Bryce Young is gone.
O’Brien did much better than what most want to give him credit for.
Joe Brady wants to stay in the NFL, plus he doesn’t like recruiting.
Saban’s best bets for OC would be Kliff Kingsbury, Jeff Lenny, Dan Mullen (Mullen hates recruiting as well).
Then there’s a chance he could take a chance on someone like Tulane’s OC.
Either way, I think Bama’s offense takes a slight dip, as well as the defense..then gets back to normal in 2024.
What was it Kiffin said?
“Get your popcorn ready”
Dan Mullen as Bama OC? That would be interesting.
Considering how Kirby’s defense dominated Mullen’s offenses, I have a feeling Kirby would welcome that result.
Too bad Bobby Petrino isn’t available.
You never know with him
Petrino is always available. Just ask UNLV or the Falcons.
Petrino would be glad to jump ship from one program to another within a season.
Bama’s about to match the Petrino hire with the hire of Pruitt as Sankey pulls more of his hair out.
Mullen would unironically be a good hire here.
A lot of people think they are happy Stetson Bennett, Jalen Carter and a bunch of others are gone, but they have a shock coming!!!!
GEORGIA JUST MIGHT BE BETTER IN 2023, AND THEY ARE HUNGRY FOR A 3PEAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
PS. Kirby promised you. ” At Georgia we won’t ever be hunted! WE HUNT!!!!!! ”
Negan
As long as Saban is in charge it really doesn’t matter who ends up as OC. I wish Saban would leave so Bama would be beatable.
O’Brien wasn’t the main issue. His offenses were actually pretty good. I think the offense in 2020 unfortunately set a bar that was way too high to consistently meet, and expectations for what the offense should be never came back down to Earth. The truth is we were spoiled by one of the best receiver classes in modern college football for several years. The last two years we haven’t had those next-level guys, and it’s shown in critical moments during big games.
But the real victory this offseason is seeing Golding leave. O’Brien would put up points, but it didn’t matter because Golding’s defense was not up to the task of slowing down good offenses. It’s a shame that Bryce Young had to play with that clown leading the defense. If the oftentimes reliable defense of the Nick Saban era had shown any life in big games this year Bryce would have had a real chance at a national championship.
His offense in 2021 was #7 in ypg and #6 in ppg.
His offense in 2022 was #11 in ypg and #4 in ppg.
This is a horrible article. The problem is NOT BOB….. The problem is a lack of discipline and the worst defensive teams that I can remember in Tuscaloosa. The problem is CNS……
Those one score games were not the offenses fault.